COMPUTATIONAL MODELING Virtual Patient Models FDA Collaboration 725+ Hospitals
Updated: December 2025
Computational Models

Digital Twins

Virtual Patient Models for Precision Medicine

Computational simulations of individual patient physiology enabling personalized treatment optimization, virtual clinical trials, and drug development without physical testing.

Last Updated: December 30, 2025 · Technology Guide
2014
Living Heart
First cardiac DT
$855M
HeartFlow Raised
IPO August 2025
725+
Hospitals
HeartFlow deployed
400K
Patients
HeartFlow analyzed

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Digital twins in healthcare are computational models that simulate an individual patient's physiology, enabling personalized treatment planning, drug response prediction, and virtual clinical trials. The technology ranges from organ-specific models (cardiac, metabolic) to whole-body simulations. HeartFlow's cardiac digital twin, deployed across 725+ hospitals, exemplifies clinical adoption, while Dassault Systèmes' Living Heart Project has enabled FDA device approvals without physical testing.

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What Are Healthcare Digital Twins?

A digital twin in healthcare is a virtual representation of a patient's biological system—whether an individual organ, physiological process, or entire body—that can be used to simulate responses to treatments, predict disease progression, and optimize therapeutic interventions.

TYPES OF HEALTHCARE DIGITAL TWINS

  • Organ-Specific: Heart, brain, liver models simulating organ function and drug response
  • Physiological System: Cardiovascular, metabolic, immune system simulations
  • Patient-Specific: Individualized models calibrated to patient data for personalized medicine
  • Virtual Population: Synthetic patient cohorts for in-silico clinical trials
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Cardiac Digital Twins: The Leading Application

MARKET LEADER · IPO 2025

HeartFlow

Non-invasive cardiac digital twin derived from CT scans. Simulates blood flow (FFR) to diagnose coronary artery disease. IPO August 2025 (HTFL). $125.8M 2024 revenue (44% YoY growth), 75% gross margin.

$855M+
Total Raised
DASSAULT SYSTÈMES
Living Heart Project

High-fidelity cardiac simulation launched 2014. 100+ partners including FDA. Enabled medical device approvals via simulation. FDA Enrichment Playbook (Oct 2024).

Also: Living Brain, Living Lung
SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS
Digital Twin of the Heart

AI-powered cardiac models. Partnership with UCSF for Alzheimer's digital twins (March 2025). Integration with medical imaging systems.

Enterprise healthcare focus
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Digital Twin Applications Beyond Cardiology

METABOLIC · $190M RAISED
Twin Health

Whole-body metabolic digital twin for Type 2 diabetes management. Demonstrated disease remission in clinical studies through personalized nutrition and lifestyle optimization.

Consumer health application
VIRTUAL TRIALS · $130M+ RAISED
Unlearn.AI

TwinRCT platform creates digital twins of control arm patients. EMA qualification for Phase 2/3 trials. Reduces trial size requirements by generating synthetic control data.

Clinical trial optimization
ORGAN-ON-CHIP INTEGRATION
Hesperos Digital Twin

First digital twin generated from organ-on-chip data (July 2025). Bridges experimental MPS data with computational models for predictive pharmacology.

OoC + computational hybrid
QUANTITATIVE SYSTEMS PHARMA
QSP/PBPK Models

Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic models simulate drug distribution. Established regulatory acceptance for dose optimization. Companies: Certara, Simulations Plus.

Most mature regulatory pathway
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FDA Collaboration & Regulatory Acceptance

FDA ENRICHMENT PLAYBOOK (OCTOBER 2024)

FDA and Dassault Systèmes published a 44-page guide for using computational modeling in medical device development. The playbook provides frameworks for:

  • → Virtual clinical trial design and execution
  • → Model verification and validation standards
  • → Credibility assessment for regulatory submissions
  • → Integration of simulation with physical testing

Digital twins have already enabled FDA medical device approvals without physical clinical trials. The Living Heart Project has been used to simulate device performance in virtual patient populations, demonstrating safety and efficacy computationally. This regulatory precedent is now extending to drug development applications.

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In-Silico Clinical Trials

Virtual clinical trials use digital twin populations to simulate drug effects across diverse patient groups. This approach can:

Reduce Trial Size

Synthetic control arms reduce patient recruitment needs by 30-50%

Accelerate Timelines

Virtual trials complete in days vs. years for physical trials

Improve Diversity

Test across synthetic populations representing underrepresented groups

Ethical Advantage

Reduce exposure of real patients to potentially harmful compounds

Market Outlook

$2.7B
2024 Market
Healthcare digital twins
$77B
2030 Projected
68% CAGR (high estimate)
27%
Personalized Med
Leading application

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